I suspect the demand destricution is the other 7% -> ie, the fact actual demand is falling year on year due to effeciency improvements.I don't know what your 'many other factors' mean but for UK refined petrol, it takes c 4kw of electric to refine 1 gallon. On average 1 gallon of petrol (made with 4kwh of electric) gives 40 miles......an EV would need 10 to 12 kw to drive that.....the 10% is still incorrect. Taking the refinery electric use into acct, perhaps 17/18% rather than 22/23%...certainly not 10%.
The trouble is, National Grid just dumb it down and folk will generally accept the 10%.
Good example of this in the AI space is 3-4 years ago a AI processor capable of about the same amount of AI operations per second as an Apple laptop used 500watt constant, versus around 35W for the AI processor equivalent on an Apple silicon chip.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore's_law -> has applied for many years, and is one of the reasons datacentre power use can decrease as actual work increases.
Should add Nvidia news from last week: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/...ry-desk-and-at-every-ai-developers-fingertips
personal AI chips able to do work of chips that would use > 1.5kw and many many tens of thousands only 3 years ago.
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